March 29, 2024

Economic Outlook

Southwest Florida's economic forecast for 2024

“Over the past few years, we have moved from a world of disinflation and ultra-easy monetary policy to one with high inflation, conventional monetary policy and rising interest rates. While England may have crowned a new king, cash continues to reign supreme here in the U.S. Since the Fed began hiking interest rates in 2021, we have seen our J.P. Morgan Private Bank clients increase their cash at the expense of stocks." Read more »
Published on 1/31/2024

Northwest Florida's economic forecast for 2024

In the fall of 2018, Tyndall Air Force Base near Panama City was devastated by a direct hit from Hurricane Michael. The Category 5 storm severely damaged 484 buildings on the base, a major pilot training facility. Read more »
Published on 1/31/2024

Northeast Florida's economic forecast for 2024

“In the nonprofit sector at large, I see a huge demand for financial talent. That's probably explained by the fact that people with financial expertise are in huge demand in the for-profit space, which compensates at a higher level. It also plays out in issues like non-profits not being able to find auditors to carry out financial audits for them, despite being willing to pay market rates, because audit firms simply do not have the people to carry out all the audits being demanded of them." Read more »
Published on 1/31/2024

Central Florida's economic forecast for 2024

The Orlando Magic's planned sports and entertainment district is moving forward with the addition of two developers experienced in sports-related venues. San Francisco-based JMA Ventures and Houston-based Machete Group have joined the effort to create a downtown Orlando entertainment district next to the Amway Center, home to the NBA franchise. Read more »
Published on 1/31/2024

Southeast Florida's economic forecast for 2024

“FHG is a service maintenance company specializing in diesel engines for the superyacht industry, commercial shipping industry and government. We basically do inboard engine overhauls. We've built the company as a concierge complete engine service. It's the most expensive piece of equipment on board and the biggest liability. We do wastewater treatment systems, electrical, hydraulic, generators. A lot of it is supporting OEMs." Read more »
Published on 1/31/2024

Miami's economic forecast for 2024

“As we look ahead to 2024, we believe rates will stabilize and that the Federal Reserve will gradually ease rates to sustain economic growth. We anticipate that Florida's economy will remain strong and that residents, businesses, and domestic and international capital will continue flowing into the state." Read more »
Published on 1/30/2024

Statewide outlook for Florida in 2023

Economist Jerry Parrish expects a U.S. recession in 2023 but says that doesn't necessarily mean Florida will join in. If Florida does, he says, it will be shorter than the national recession and not as deep. Read more »
Published on 1/31/2023

Central Florida's economic forecast for 2023

“Nationally in 2023, we expect the health care industry to grow faster than the overall economy, reflecting health care's continued expanding share of the nation's GDP. Interestingly, health care costs have not been growing as fast as other consumer staples such as food and gas. This is partially the result of health care prices being set in advance through federal and state programs and through contracting with private insurance payers. Health systems are under pressure through higher labor and supply costs. As a result of these cost pressures and other factors, expect to see additional health system consolidation across the state and nation.” Read more »
Published on 1/1/2023

Miami's economic forecast for 2023

“Insurance is always front of mind for Florida owners and investors. Rising construction costs and pricing for properties has led to a dramatic increase in required total insurable value. Coupled with recent claims, this results in a difficult insurance market with little visibility for owners and buyers into future expected insurance premiums. Stability in this market will be crucial to keep transactions moving smoothly in Miami.” Read more »
Published on 1/1/2023

Southeast Florida's economic forecast for 2023

“Most people don't realize the University of Florida has made two big plays in our county. The University of Florida is going to take 12 acres in the heart of downtown West Palm Beach for a graduate school in data analytics, cybersecurity, AI, aviation and aerospace. The second area the University of Florida has taken over is the Scripps Research Institute — to really build out that cluster the way we envisioned in 2004. Read more »
Published on 1/1/2023

Northeast Florida's economic forecast for 2023

“North- Central Florida's thriving life sciences industry is home to numerous highly collaborative businesses that support, encourage and strengthen each other to drive innovation and positively impact the community. The region's proximity to the University of Florida and Santa Fe College provides a very strong talent pool that is essential to supporting growing businesses. RTI Surgical has a private-label OEM business model and partners with leading medical technology companies to address unmet needs in the tissue and biologics regenerative medical device markets.” Read more »
Published on 1/1/2023

Northwest Florida's economic forecast for 2023

“For the most part, companies are hiring, but as they go into 2023, they are still hurting for people. I went to a conference recently, and I learned that in the health care field there is one nurse for every 10 open positions. In the hospitality industry, it is one person for every six job openings. It's getting better, but it's still very painful for many industries. So, a lot of companies are trying to fill the gap with automation, and inevitably everybody is going to have to go there out of desperation. Many companies have resisted doing that, but they have got to find a way to close the job gap and perhaps consider going down the artificial intelligence path. Perhaps using AI to search through resumes for keywords and things of that nature. We're a very personalized relationship-driven business, so we don't want to damage our interpersonal relationships by being too abstract or too distant or too techie, but we have had a really hard time, especially following COVID, finding quality people for quality jobs.” Read more »
Published on 1/1/2023

Southwest Florida's economic forecast for 2023

“PostcardMania has encountered and overcome many challenges in the past, and I feel 2023 will be no different. Even amidst inflation, where we have had to adjust our pricing and some business dealings due to the cost of essential materials, we are still growing.” Read more »
Published on 1/1/2023

National Economic Headwinds for Florida

The Florida Chamber Foundation has been charting Florida's rise in the global economy in its ambitious 2030 Blueprint, which aims to position the state – now the equivalent of the world's 16th largest economy, ahead of Saudi Arabia and behind the Netherlands – at 10th. Read more »
Published on 12/27/2022

A snapshot of Florida

Industries across the state are reporting robust activity — some are surpassing pre-pandemic levels of growth. Read the full regional reports - Miami • Southeast • Southwest • Central •... Read more »
Published on 1/17/2022

Northwest Florida's economic forecast for 2022

“In general, hotels in urban centers are not coming back anytime soon. Everybody is looking at 2024 for some kind of sustained recovery..." Read more »
Published on 1/17/2022

Northeast Florida's economic forecast for 2022

Tourism in Clay County turned upside down in 2021, Morgan says. Traditionally, hotels in Clay County have been busy during the week, drawing people doing business with Naval Air Station Jacksonville or the Cecil Commerce Center. “And then COVID happened,” Morgan says. “Now, the weekends are very, very strong.” Read more »
Published on 1/17/2022

Central Florida's economic forecast for 2022

“We have every confidence in Florida's role as the leading global enabler of a new space economy and aerospace industry. In 2022, we will continue to invest in new infrastructure throughout Florida's spaceport system, including the capability statewide to handle 100 launches a year and accommodate launch-on-demand and satellite-on-demand capacity..." Read more »
Published on 1/17/2022

Southwest Florida's economic forecast for 2022

"Since January 2021, natural gas prices have more than doubled after a number of unique events drove up the price and drove down supplies..." Read more »
Published on 1/17/2022

Southeast Florida's economic forecast for 2022

“I see a few storms on the horizon. The amount we're paying for labor is escalating at an exponential rate. You have the supply chain issues. We used to try to squeeze every nickel out of the supply chain. Now, it's not about the money..." Read more »
Published on 1/17/2022

A snapshot of Florida

The Economic Outlook package also includes people to watch in each region and news from all of Florida's 67 counties. Read more »
Published on 12/30/2020

Southeast Florida's economic outlook for 2021

Regional business leaders talk about the outlook for the year ahead, plus demographics and statistics Read more »
Published on 12/30/2020

Miami's economic forecast for 2021

Regional business leaders talk about the outlook for the year ahead, plus demographics and statistics Read more »
Published on 12/30/2020

Northeast Florida's economic forecast for 2021

Regional business leaders talk about the outlook for the year ahead, plus demographics and statistics Read more »
Published on 12/30/2020

Southwest Florida's economic forecast for 2021

Regional business leaders talk about the outlook for the year ahead, plus demographics and statistics Read more »
Published on 12/30/2020

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Florida Trend Video Pick

Bitter-to-swallow cocoa costs force chocolate shops to raise prices
Bitter-to-swallow cocoa costs force chocolate shops to raise prices

Central Floirda chocolate shops are left with a bitter taste as cocoa prices hit an all-time high earlier this week.

Video Picks | Viewpoints@FloridaTrend

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